Saturday, August 4, 2012

Google Fiber, Why It's So Awesome!

  This is one of the projects at Google that I am super excited about.  It's one of those initiatives that I believe can not only change the way people use the internet, but also change the way traditional companies do business.  It will push people to do better, faster.  I really think this has the potential to impact the world in much the same way that search had.  Why?  A few simple reasons:

Lightning Speed
Google Fiber will be delivering 1Gb upload and download speeds.  This means everything instantly becomes faster.  It means you can download pretty much anything, in seconds.  It means you can play literally any game without any lag.  It means you can stream movies and content immediately.  It means you can record multiple television shows at once.  It means better viewing through less compression.  It means storing everything you own in the cloud and accessing it easily.  Everything you now do on the internet will become instantly faster.  No lag.  Less downtime.  Period.

  • You get a DVR with 2Tb of storage
  • You get a nice new flashy Galaxy Nexus 7 tablet
Most Importantly, the Shackles of Content Providers are Broken
You are no longer are at the whim of the giant, entrenched data providers who purposefully lock down, limit, and unreasonably "protect" their pipes.  You no longer are forced to abide by unfair practices or pay unfair fees for services, just because they want to or need to meet quarterly growth targets.  You now have a choice.  The choice to be free.  These companies will be forced to change the way they do business.  To compete fairly and openly. 

I don't know about you, but when I was a Comcast subscriber, my search pages were always hijacked by their crappy search experience.  I was sick of them forcing me to download applications that sat on my desktop, monitoring my every move.  Or maybe it was their unfair pricing tactics, their crappy customer service, or the fact that I had to bundle Nickelodeon for kids when I haven't watched that channel in 30 years.  The list just goes on and on.  I'm ready for a change.  I detailed my last fiasco here.
To be fair, it's not just Comcast.  It's almost every other ISP out there sucks just as much. 

The Future With Google Fiber
In the future, I envision a 24/7 connection to the home with instant access anywhere on the planet.  Sure this opens up some big old security holes.  But it's also another business opportunity.  Forget a document at home?  No worries.  Forget to turn off some lights.  No worries.  Forget to check what you needed at home from the grocery store?  Check.  The power of this service really comes in passing large amounts of data back and forth between the home.    This creates the ability for applications ever increasing in size.

Imagine medical applications you could use at home - with all of the processing and hardware in the cloud?  Or any scientific tool really.  Anything encapsulated in data can now be available on a Google Fiber endpoint.

Just think about how much time would be saved?  Even if the time saved is minor per person, imagine the overall time save on a global scale!

Now let's be conservative.  There are ~6,000,000 broadband internet subscriptions in the world today.  Say each of these connections saves about 1 minute / week per connection (in aggregate, because multiple people use a connection).  And these all turned into 100Gb tubes.  I still think this is conservative.  But down the road it's feasible to save hundreds of thousands of people days / year.  Even millions.

52 * 6,000,000 = 312,000,000 minutes per year
312,000,000 = 5,120,000 hours / year
That's about 213,333 days we save.  That's not bad Google.

Monday, July 16, 2012

Logo Web Design: 99design vs Choosa vs Crowdspring Review. Is Crowdsourcing / Spec Bad for Designers - Should They Really Hate It? Nope.

I'm in the process of submitting a project on 99designs for web design.  As I was researching which design site to use out of the abundance of sites: 99designs, crowdspring, Choosa, 12designer, 48hourslogo, Astada, Brandsupply, Creads, DesignContest, DesignCrowd, DesignOnClick, Graphiste, Hatchwise, LogoDesignGuru, Wilogo, Mycroburst, LogoTournament, and others, I came across a number of articles discussing how these sites are bad for designers.  How they're cheapening the design process and forcing designers to provide their skills, in many cases for free.

The argument goes like this... as a designer you submit a design for a project.  The project submitter likes your design as he likes others and asks for revisions.  This leads the designer to think they have  a good shot at winning.  They continue submitting revisions until the end and find themselves on the losing end of the contest.  Thus... work for free.

I can disagree more.  And there are several reasons:

Practice makes perfect: As a fledgling designer, there's nothing better than honing your skills with real practice.  These sites are the perfect opportunity to improve skills, using real world feedback.  Listening to your client is priority one on any job.  Regardless of outcome, you'll learn these skills which can payoff on future endeavors.

This happens in all industries: Ever hear of that manufacturing outsourcing problems the US constantly complains about?  This is one and the same.  Jobs are getting outsourced to cheaper and more efficient places.  It's the natural progression of industry and it's something we should embrace not hinder.  It will only make people word harder to become better.

Global Opportunity: These websites are giving opportunities to people who wouldn't otherwise have it.  People from all over the world can now compete with hometown designers.  Best designer wins.

If you're that good... then you shouldn't have a problem finding work that compensates well.  Having spent the better half of 12 years in the Bay Area, there was always a shortage of good designers and this gives entrepreneurs and businesses the opportunity to find designers.

Corollaries: There are already corollaries across the internet.  And people aren't complaining about that.  Look at oDesk, elance, or  Any complains about these guys destroying industry?

People need to stop complaining about things being unfair.  Tis' life.  This is a free market.  Time to play.

Sunday, July 15, 2012

Advertising and The Facebook Business Model

It's time to start writing again.  Since I turned down my startup several years ago, I've largely ignored tech blogs and the startup space, as I was plain worn out.  I spent time diving back into a corporate job.  I tried half a year at Symantec.  But going from startup to an archaic technology company more interested in resting on its laurels, just wasn't for me.  I've since found the perfect place.

Since I now work in the online ad space, I thought I'd share something I've been telling people for a few years now.  Something that finally seems all that more logical to those observing the industry.

Advertising based on profiles or online self selected interests or other user generated data - just doesn't work.  Things like remarketing, contextual, or search advertising do.

There's one simple reason with search ads.  It's intent.  Contextual - though not as powerful as search, casts a wider net.  It's all over the place.  Remarketing.  Obvious.

Think about Facebook.  When you're on it, do you even notice the ads?  Are you on Facebook with the intent to buy? 

The only way I've ever though FB would be able to make money is to either:
A) Create an AdSense style platform and augment contextual WITH their profile data
B) Sell their data on a DMP or Data Exchange

Since they likely won't do B), their only option is A).  Little hints like the deal with Zynga and the launch of their exchange, which was far from an exchange, may show their intent.

As usual - I remain bearish on Facebook.  100B?  Really?  It's even way overvalued today at $65B.  I'd say a more appropriate valuation would be about half that.